REAL POLITIK FLASH NO. 86
10 – 30 APRIL 2025
With “ flash” comments on 4 major events in only 1000 words by the prominent analyst,
DR. JORGJI KOTE
1.Only praises and promises for Meloni! This occurred during the flying visit of the Italian Premier in the White House on 18 April. The US “ Brother” as she calls President Trump did not spare praises and promises for her as “ a great leader, Prime Minister and woman who has made a phantastic job”! Meloni intented to show through this visit that she could be the ideal broker between the USA and the EU during their shocking relations. However, besides beautiful praises and generous promises, nothing concrete was pledged. Hence, we have to wait and see what would happen. But the situation is not simple. Untrust on Trump in Europe is growing, since he is breaking off with the EU, their sharing values and principles; Trump is replacing the world order established in 1945 with the law of the strongest, with spheres of influence and so on. Therefore both sides have doubts on Meloni/Italy as an effective mediator and even less as EU leader.
2. Facts versus untruths ! Albania’s EU accession 2030 is the major Socialist Party logo in these elections. With a lot of narratives and political futurism by Prime Minister Rama. Despite numerous anecdotes and battutas on the EU bonuses and benefits, Albanians have overherd them in the last 35 years but are still unable top enjoy them. While apreciatin some of them, many other “ stories” shown are not true.
Thus, EU/2030 is not as it is said a “ bet” but an oath; it is not a passport, love, marriage, but a lopng – distant run with hurdles and a high slopy mountain. EU/2030 is not for granted, it is only a target of our government but the last word will be said by the 27 EU Member States. True, favourable geopolitics helps, but it cannot guarantee the success; decisive here remains the domestic factor, the implementation of the major reforms, especially the fight against organized crime, corruption and the qualitative improvement of the socio-economic indicators, where we are lagging much behind the EU. Without them, even AI has no chance.
A single party cannot lead us to the EU; for it is not only the governmet, diplomacy and the Party but the whole country, i.e. even the opposition, regardless of how you label it. Moreover that it has played a major contribution in our accession to the Council of Europe, NATO, to visa liberalization and other EU processes.
3. Instant ceasefire and genuine peace, not a deal for new occupation!
This is the double-fold dilemma which Kyev, Washington and Brussels face concerning the end of war in Ukraine. Here it is very important to distinguish between a deal and an agreement. President Trump talks much more on a DEAL, his most favourite and successful practice as a brilliant businessman, given also his best seller “ The art of the deal” ( 1987) However, such commercial deals of “ give and take” are a far cry from a genuine international agreement.
Therefore, instead of a deal and the end of war is much better to speak on an instant and unconditional ceasefire and on a political and security accord, on genuine lasting peace, with the relevant US and EU backstop, but not a dictated peace of the type “ take it or leave it”
Such a peace in compliance with international law, and without dangerous “ NO-s” for Ukraine: NO in NATO, NO in the border of 2014, with NO US guarantees, NO sovereignty, NO army, and others.
This is why many western, american and other politicians and experts,among whom Jurgen Hardt, Thomas Jager, Timothy Snider, such a peace would have only the name as such; as the ukrainian Peace Nobel winner, Olessandra Matvijtçuk says“ it will be no peace but a new occupation for Ukraine” Whereas Kissvetter, among the best German experts in this area says painfully that with this peace “they will throw Ukraine to the dogs”! Now the problem is how to prevent such a fake peace and Europe is playing well its own role, with or even without the USA. Something extremely hard, but this is the reality and there is no other alternative.
4. Back after 60 years!
Germany will have its first Foreign Minister after 60 yerars from the center right party CDU/CSU in the new governmental coalition due to start on 6th of May. He is Mr. Johann Vandephul, long time member of the Bundestag. From the year 1965 to date, this post has been kept by leaders of SPD, the Liberals and the Greens. With great names among them, as Willy Brand, the emblematique Liberal Minister Hans Dietrich Genscher and then Klaus Kinkel, Joshka Fisher, Frank Walter Steienmeier, Guido Westerwelle, Frank Walter Steinmier, Sigmar Gabriel, Heiko Maas and in the last three and a half years Annalena Baerbock from the Greens, the first female and the most short-lived german Foreign Minister.
All of them have been also very friendly and also visited Western Balkans and Albania; Hans Dietrich Genscher came in Tirana in October 1987 and inaugurated the new German Embassy there. They have also launched and supported historic projects as the Stability Pact, the Stabilization&Association Process, up to the Berlin Process.
Johan Vandepuhl’s appointment is explained with the intention of the new Chancellor, Mr. Merz to have diplomacy under his arm. Moreover that for the first time ever, Germany will have a National Security Council attached to the Chancellor’s Office and to avoid disaccordences, as it has occurred until now. Mr. Vandephul, besides belonging to the close circle of Chancellor Merz has the necessary qualities and expertise; he has been since 2009 Member of the Bundestag and the Vice Chair of the CDU /CSU Parliamentary Group there; he is an acclaimed expert on EU and Security affairs. He has also shown a great deal of interest for the Balkans and Albania, in particular, specifically for its EU accession process; In 2019 – 2021 he was quite critical to the opening of negotiations with the EU, proposing the fulfillment of 9 and then 12 conditions. The new German governmenal program specifies that the EU should focus on its internal reform and then accept new members based on their merits and reform progress. A a new challenge for Albania in EU/2030.
© 2025 Argumentum
